After several years of high mortgage rates and hesitation from buyers, momentum is quietly building beneath the surface of the housing market. Sellers are reappearing. Buyers are re-engaging. And for the first time in what feels like forever, there’s movement happening again.
No, it’s not a surge. But it is a shift – and it’s one that could set the stage for a stronger year in 2026.
So, what’s driving the comeback? Here are three big trends that are slowly breathing life back into the housing market right now.
1. Mortgage Rates Have Been Coming Down
Mortgage rates are always going to have their ups and downs – that's just how rates work. Especially with the general economic uncertainty right now, some volatility is to be expected. But, if you zoom out, it’s the larger trend that really matters most.
And overall, rates have been trending down for most of this year (see graph below):
And in just the last few months, we’ve seen the best rates of 2025. According to Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac:
“On a median-priced home, this could allow a homebuyer to save thousands annually compared to earlier this year, showing that affordability is slowly improving.”
Here's why that matters for you. This shift changes what you can actually afford. It means lower borrowing costs and more buying power. Take this as an example.
Data from Redfin shows a buyer with a $3,000 monthly budget can now afford roughly $25,000 more home than they could one year ago. That’s a big deal. And it’s just one of the reasons why activity is picking up.
2. More Homeowners Are Ready To Sell
For a while, many homeowners stayed put because they didn’t want to give up their low mortgage rate. That “lock-in effect” kept inventory tight. And while plenty of homeowners are still staying where they are today, the number of rate-locked homeowners is starting to ease as rates come down. Life changes are becoming a bigger part of what’s driving more people to move, and that’s opening up more inventory.
Data from Realtor.com shows just how much the number of homes for sale has grown. And the really interesting part is that the market is approaching levels that haven’t been seen for the past six years (see the blue on the graph below):
That return to more normal inventory levels is a really good thing. It gives buyers more options than they’ve had in years. And it’s helping to bring the market closer to balance.
3. More Buyers Are Re-Entering the Market
And it’s not just sellers making moves. With more options and slightly better affordability, buyers are getting back in the game, too. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports purchase applications are up compared to last year, a clear signal that demand is building again (see graph below):
And experts think this momentum will continue. Economists from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) all forecast moderate sales growth going into 2026.
Now, this recovery won’t happen overnight. It’s not a flood of activity. But it is the start of steady improvement going into 2026. And that's something a lot of people have been waiting for.
FINAL THOUGHTS
The housing market is finally turning a real corner. After years of high rates and low activity we are seeing meaningful momentum build with lower borrowing costs more listings hitting the market and buyers stepping back in with confidence. It is not sudden or dramatic but it is steady healthy improvement and that is exactly what sets the stage for opportunity
As we move into 2026 affordability continues to improve buyer demand is strengthening and homeowners who have been sitting still are preparing to make their next move. The shift is happening now and smart planning over the next few months will make a huge difference in results next year
If you are thinking about selling buying or investing it is time to get ahead of the curve. We would love to talk strategy with you and position you to win in this next phase of the market.
Our Listing Process
With Shane & Anne, our mission is to prioritize our clients in every aspect of the real estate journey. We are committed to providing exceptional service and expertise in the luxury real estate market. Guided by our core values, we strive to build lasting relationships based on trust and mutual respect.
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- Loyalty: We are unwavering in our commitment to our clients, always putting their needs and interests first.
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We are committed to staying ahead of market trends and continuously enhancing our skills and knowledge to deliver unparalleled results. Our goal is to make the real estate experience as smooth and rewarding as possible, ultimately helping our clients achieve their real estate dreams.